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This document contains complete, step-by-step solutions to worksheets on Probability, created specifically for Semester 2 commerce students. It provides practice through a wide range of problems to help build a strong understanding of probability concepts. Key highlights include: Fully solved problems based on classical, empirical, and conditional probability Application of permutations and combinations in probability-based scenarios Real-life and exam-style questions on mutually exclusive, independent, and complementary events Exercises on Bayes’ Theorem and expected value calculations Step-by-step solutions involving normal distribution and z-score interpretation Includes practical business problems involving risk, forecasting, and decision-making Coverage of previous year university-style questions for effective practice Suitable for assignments, self-study, and exam preparation
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Trip Days Expenses (₹. ’00) Expenses per day (₹. ’00) 1 0.5 13.50 27 2 2 12.00 6 3 3.5 17.50 5 4 1 9.00 9 5 9 27.00 3 6 0.5 9.00 18 7 8.5 17.00 2 Total 25 105.00 70 An auditor criticized these expenses as excessive, asserting that the average expenses per day is ₹.
Average runs scored per innings 45.5 52. Standard deviation 10 11 Find out a) who is better run getter? b) who is consistent batsman? Use coefficient of variation.
Hungarian Method Steps (Rule) Step- 1: If number of rows is not equal to number of columns, then add dummy rows or columns with cost 0, to make it a square matrix. Step- 2: a. Identify the minimum element in each row and subtract it from each element of that row. b. Identify the minimum element in each column and subtract it from every element of that column. Step- 3: Make assignment in the opportunity cost table a. Identify rows with exactly one unmarked 0. Make an assignment to this single 0 by make a square ( [0] ) around it and cross off all other 0 in the same column. b. Identify columns with exactly one unmarked 0. Make an assignment to this single 0 by make a square ( [0] ) around it and cross off all other 0 in the same rows. c. If a row and/or column has two or more unmarked 0 and one cannot be chosen by inspection, then choose the cell arbitrarily. d. Continue this process until all 0 in rows/columns are either assigned or cross off( ). Step- 4: (a) If the number of assigned cells = the number of rows, then an optimal assignment is found and In case you have chosen a 0 cell arbitrarily, then there may be an alternate optimal solution exists. (b) If optimal solution is not optimal, then goto Step-5. Step- 5: Draw a set of horizontal and vertical lines to cover all the 0 a. Tick(✓) mark all the rows in which no assigned 0. b. Examine Tick(✓) marked rows, If any 0 cell occurs in that row, then tick( ✓) mark that column. c. Examine Tick(✓) marked columns, If any assigned 0 exists in that columns, then tick( ✓) mark that row. d. Repeat this process until no more rows or columns can be marked. e. Draw a straight line for each unmarked rows and marked columns. f. If the number of lines is equal to the number of rows then the current solution is the optimal, otherwise goto step- 6 Step- 6: Develop the new revised opportunity cost table a. Select the minimum element, say k, from the cells not covered by any line, b. Subtract k from each element not covered by a line. c. Add k to each intersection element of two lines. Step- 7: Repeat steps 3 to 6 until an optimal solution is arrived.
Transportation Problem Obtain an IBFS to the following TP by (i) NWCR (ii)Lowest cost entry method (iii) VOGEL’S approximation method. a. Source\Destination D1 D2 D3 D4 Availability S1 11 13 17 14 250 S2 16 18 14 10 300 S3 21 24 13 10 400 Requirement 200 225 275 250 b. Source\Destination D1 D2 D3 D4 Availability S1 1 2 1 4 30 S2 3 3 2 1 50 S3 4 2 5 9 20 Requirement 20 40 30 10 100 c. National Oil Company has three refineries and 4 depots. Transportation costs per barrel and requirements are given below. Determine IBFS using NWCR, LCEM, VAM. Source\Destination D1 D2 D3 D4 Capacity S1 5 7 13 10 700 S2 8 6 14 13 400 S3 12 10 9 11 800 Requirement 300 600 700 400 d. A company has three plants locations A, B, C which supply to warehouses D, E, F, G and H. Monthly plant capacities are 800,500and 900 units respectively. Monthly warehouses requirements are 400,400,500,400and 800 units respectively. Unit transportation cost (in Rs.) are given below: plants\warehouses D E F G H A 5 8 6 6 3 B 4 7 7 6 6 C 8 4 6 6 4 Find the Initial distribution for the company in order to minimize the total TP cost by North west corner rule and Vogel’s approximation method. e. Source\Destination D1 D2 D3 D4 Availability S1 6 5 8 8 30 S2 5 11 9 7 40 S3 8 9 7 13 50 Requirement 35 28 32 25 f. Source\Destination D1 D2 D3 D4 Availability S1 21 16 25 13 11 S2 17 18 14 23 13 S3 32 27 18 41 19 Requirement 6 10 12 15 g. Source\Destination D1 D2 D3 D4 Availability S1 19 30 50 10 7 S2 70 30 40 60 9 S3 40 8 70 20 18 Requirement 5 8 7 11
Assignment Problem
12 Noon 8.00 P.M
Provide the business case of the assignment problem above giving the total sales output
shipment of transistors containing 100 units requires 1 hour of engineering, 10 hours of direct labour and 2 hours of administration service. To produce 100 resistors are required 1 hour, 4 hours and 2 hours of engineering, direct labor and administration time respectively. To produce one shipment of the tubes (100 units) requires 1 hour of engineering, 5 hours of direct labour and 6 hours of administration. There are 100 hours of engineering services available, 600 hours of direct labour and 300 hours of administration. What is the most profitable mix?
The daily limits on the available times for the three operations are 430, 460, and 420 minutes, respectively, and the revenues per unit of toy train, truck and car are Rs.3, Rs.2 and Rs.5, respectively. The assembly times per train at the three operations are 1, 3, and 1 minutes respectively. The corresponding times per train and per car are (2, 0, 4) and (1, 2, 0) minutes (a zero time indicates that the operation is not used). Determine the number of each toy assembled that maximizes the revenue.
a) Calculate two regression coefficients when r=0.8, σX = 5and σy = 7. b) Find the probable error when number of items are 5 and correlation is 0.7 for a given distribution c) A student calculated the regression coefficient of x on y as - 1.25 and regression coefficient of y on x as - 2.40. Comment on his calculation. d) If n=8 and ∑d^2 =4 find rs? e) IF bxy= 0.8 and byx = 0.6 find ‘r’? f) Calculate two regression coefficients when r=0.8, σX = 5and σy = 7.
1 A machine was depreciated at the rate of 10% per annum for the first 2 years after it was purchased and at the rate of 13% per annum for the next four years and finally at the rate of 15% per annum for the rest. The original cost of the asset was Rs. 41,50,000. Find the scrap value of the asset at the end of seven years
8 What amount lent at 10% p a compound interest will fetch Rs 630 as interest in 2 years. 3000 9 A sum of money invested at compound interest amounts to Rs 21632 in 2 years and to Rs 22497.28 in 3 years. Find the rate of interest and the sum invested.
10 The difference between the compound interest and the simple interest for 3 years at 5% p a on a certain sum of money was Rs 610. Find the sum.
11 An industry starts by producing 50000 units in its first year and the production for every year increases by 8% of that of the previous year. How many units will it produce in the seventh year? What is the sum total of the whole production in the first three years.? 12 A person has two daughters A and B aged 13 and 16 years. He has Rs 40000 with him now but wants that both of them should get an equal amount when they are 20 years old. How he should divide the money if it were to be deposited in a bank giving 9% compound interest per annum?
13 A certain sum of money at simple interest amounts to ₹560 in 3 years and to ₹600 in 5 years. Find the principal and the rate of interest. 14 At what rate percent will Rs 380 amount to Rs 893 in 15 years. 15 A banker^ borrows a certain sum at 8% p.a. compound interest compounded half yearly. He lends this money at 8% p.a. compound interest compounded quarterly. If he earns Rs. 9 in two years. Find the sum borrowed. 16 A loan of Rs. 2,25,000 to be repaid in two equal annual installments. If the rate of compound interest is 13% per annum, find the installment amount 17 The book value of the asset at the end of the 4th year is Rs. 10,00,000 and at the end of the 10th year is Rs. 5,31,441. If depreciation is written off under the declining balance method, find the rate of depreciation per annum and the original cost of the asset. 18 A manufacturer estimates that the value of his machinery depreciates by 13% of its value at the beginning of the year. Find the original value of the machine, if it depreciates by Rs. 5,655 during the second year 19 A machine was depreciated at the rate of 15% per annum for the first 2 years after it was purchased and at the rate of 10% for the next three years. The original cost of the asset was Rs. 20,000. Find the depreciated value of the asset at the end of five years. 20 A banker borrows a certain sum at 8% p.a. compound interest compounded half yearly. He lends this money at 8% p.a. compound interest compounded quarterly. If he earns Rs. 9 in two years. Find the sum
borrowed. 21 A loan of Rs. 2,25,000 to be repaid in^ two equal annual installments. If the rate of compound interest is 13% per annum, find the installment amount 22 The book value of the asset at the end of the 4th year is Rs. 10,00,000 and at the end of the 10th year is Rs. 5,31,441. If depreciation is written off under the declining balance method, find the rate of depreciation per annum and the original cost of the asset. 23 A manufacturer estimates that the value of his machinery depreciates by 13% of its value at the beginning of the year. Find the original value of the machine, if it depreciates by Rs. 5,655 during the second year Ordinary Annuity: When the payments are made at the end of the payment intervals, the annuity is called an ordinary annuity or annuity immediate. Annuity Due: When the payments are made at the beginning of the payment intervals, the annuity is called an annuity due 24 Find the present value and amount of an annuity due of Rs. 1500 payable once in the beginning^ of two months for 4 years, if the money is worth 12% compounded once in two months 25 Find the present worth of an annuity due of Rs. 500 payable at the beginning of each month for 2 years, if the money is worth 8% p a compounded monthly. 26 A bank pays 8% per year interest, compounded quarterly. What equal deposits have to be made at the beginning of each quarter for 10 years, to have Rs. 30,200 at the end of 10 years? 27 What amount should be set-aside at the beginning of each year to amount to Rs.38,688.12 at the end of 10 years at 14% per annum compounded annually? 28 Find the amount of an ordinary annuity of Rs.^ 3000 for 12 years at the rate of interest of 5% per annum. 29 Find the amount of an ordinary annuity of 15 monthly payments of Rs. 2500 that earn interest at 12% per annum compounded monthly 30 A man deposits Rs. 30000 at the end of each year for 20 years. He made his first payment at the end of year 1991 and last payment at the end of year 2011. How mush should be there in his account on 31 Dec. 2011, if the 10% interest rate is compounded annually. 31 A person is repaying a debt with payments of Rs.2,500 per^ month. If he misses his payments for July, August, September and October, what payment will be required in November to put him back on schedule, if interest is at 12.6% per annum? 32 A person is repaying a debt with payments of Rs.2,500 per month, at the beginning of every month. If he misses his payments for July, August, September and October, what payment will be required in November to put him back on schedule, if interest is at 12.6% per annum