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This course includes scope of macroeconomics, national income, economic growth, unemployment, inflation, open economy, economic fluctuations, aggregate demand, aggregate supply and foundation of microeconomics. This lecture includes: Money, Inflation, Quantity, Change, Growth, Rate, Result, Amount, Predict, Relation, Balnce, Power
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Lesson 11 MONEY AND INFLATION (CONTINUED)
MONEY SUPPLY MEASURES
SYMBOL ASSETS INCLUDED C Currency M1 C + demand deposits, travelers’ checks, other checkable deposits M2 M1 small time deposits, savings deposits, money market mutual funds, money market deposit accounts M3 M2 + large time deposits, repurchase agreements, institutional money Market mutual fund balances
MONEY DEMAND AND THE QUANTITY EQUATION Let’s now express the quantity of money in terms of the quantity of goods and services it can buy. M / P = Real money balances , the purchasing power of the money supply. A simple money demand function: (M/P) d^ = kY Where, k = how much money people wish to hold for each rupee of income (k is exogenous). This equation states that the quantity of real money balances demanded is proportional to real income. Money demand: (M/P) d^ = kY Quantity equation: M V = P Y The connection between them: k = 1/ V, when people hold lots of money relative to their incomes (k is high), money changes hands infrequently (V is low).
THE QUANTITY THEORY OF MONEY IN TERMS OF GROWTH Recall the growth rate of a product equals the sum of the growth rates. The quantity equation in growth rates:
The quantity theory of money assumes V is constant, so V/V = 0. Let (Greek letter “pi”) denote the inflation rate:
We have,
Solve this result for to get
Normal economic growth requires a certain amount of money supply growth to facilitate the growth in transactions. Money growth in excess of this amount leads to inflation. Y/Y depends on growth in the factors of production and on technological progress (all of which we take as given, for now). Hence, the Quantity Theory of Money predicts a one-for-one relation between changes in the money growth rate and changes in the inflation rate.
M V P Y M V P Y
(^) (^) (^)
M P Y M P Y
(^) (^)
^^ M Y M Y
Inflation and Money growth
Inflation (%)
Money Growth (%)
Money supply Log scale
1,
10,
10
1
1
Inflation rate (%)(Log scale)
Nicaragu a (^) Angol aBrazi l Bulgari a
Georgi a
Japa n
Canad a
German y
Oma n
. Republicof Congo
Kuwai US A
1991-
2002- 2001- 2003- 1999-00 (^) 2000- 1998-
1997-
1992-
1993- 1990- 1994- 1995- 1996-