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This course includes scope of macroeconomics, national income, economic growth, unemployment, inflation, open economy, economic fluctuations, aggregate demand, aggregate supply and foundation of microeconomics. This lecture includes: Money, Inflation, Cost, Expected, Shoe, Leather, Unfair, Treatment, Menu, Price, Capital, Gain, Nominal
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Lesson 13 MONEY AND INFLATION (CONTINUED)
A COMMON MISPERCEPTION A common misperception about inflation is that inflation reduces real wages. This is true only in the short run, when nominal wages are fixed by contracts. In the long run, the real wage is determined by labor supply and the marginal product of labor, not the price level or inflation rate.
THE CLASSICAL VIEW OF INFLATION The classical view states that a change in the price level is merely a change in the units of measurement. So why, then, is inflation a social problem?
THE SOCIAL COSTS OF INFLATION The social costs of inflation fall into two categories: Costs when inflation is expected Additional costs when inflation is different than people had expected.
COSTS OF EXPECTED INFLATION
1. SHOE LEATHER COST This is the costs and inconveniences of reducing money balances to avoid the inflation tax. As i real money balances. Remember: In long run, inflation doesn’t affect real income or real spending. So, same monthly spending but lower average money holdings means more frequent trips to the bank to withdraw smaller amounts of cash. 2. MENU COSTS This is the costs of changing prices. For example, Print new menus, print & mail new catalogs. The higher is inflation, the more frequently firms must change their prices and incur these costs. 3. RELATIVE PRICE DISTORTIONS Firms facing menu costs change prices infrequently. For example, suppose a firm issues new catalog each January. As the general price level rises throughout the year, the firm’s relative price will fall. Different firms change their prices at different times, leading to relative price distortions, which cause microeconomic inefficiencies in the allocation of resources 4. UNFAIR TAX TREATMENT Some taxes are not adjusted to account for inflation, such as the capital gains tax. For example, on, 01/01/2001: you bought Rs100, 000 worth of ABC stock. On 12/31/2001: you sold the stock for Rs110, 000. So your nominal capital gain was Rs10, 000 (10%). Suppose = 10% in 2001. Your real capital gain is Rs 0. But the govt. requires you to pay taxes on your Rs1000 nominal gain!! 5. GENERAL INCONVENIENCE Inflation makes it harder to compare nominal values from different time periods. This complicates long-range financial planning.
Arbitrary redistributions of purchasing power. Many long-term contracts not indexed, but based on e. If turns out different from e, then some gain at others’ expense. For example, borrowers & lenders, If > e, then (r) < (re) then purchasing power is transferred from lenders to borrowers. If < e, then purchasing power is transferred from borrowers to lenders.
ADDITIONAL COST OF HIGH INFLATION:
Increased uncertainty When inflation is high, it’s more variable and unpredictable, turns out different from e^ more often, and the differences tend to be larger (though not systematically positive or negative). Arbitrary redistributions of wealth become more likely. This creates higher uncertainty, which makes risk averse people worse off.
ONE BENEFIT OF INFLATION Nominal wages are rarely reduced, even when the equilibrium real wage falls. Inflation allows the real wages to reach equilibrium levels without nominal wage cuts. Therefore, moderate inflation improves the functioning of labor markets.
HYPERINFLATION If 50% per month, then it is hyperinflation. All the costs of moderate inflation described above become HUGE under hyperinflation. Money ceases to function as a store of value, and may not serve its other functions (unit of account, medium of exchange). People may conduct transactions with barter or a stable foreign currency_._
WHAT CAUSES HYPERINFLATION? Hyperinflation is caused by excessive money supply growth. When the central bank prints money, the price level rises. If it prints money rapidly enough, the result is hyperinflation.
WHY GOVERNMENTS CREATE HYPERINFLATION? When a government cannot raise taxes or sell bonds, it must finance spending increases by printing money. In theory, the solution to hyperinflation is simple: stop printing money. In the real world, this requires drastic and painful fiscal restraint.