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Heckman's Selection Model Outline, Study notes of Introduction to Econometrics

for reasons of confidentiality, the dataset does not report any information for individuals with a large wage the dependent variable is truncated to the ...

Typology: Study notes

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Introduction
Truncation
OLS and Heckman's model
Summary
Heckman's Selection Model
Econometrics II
Ricardo Mora
Department of Economics
Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
Máster Universitario en Desarrollo y Crecimiento Económico
Ricardo Mora Heckman's Selection Model
Introduction
Truncation
OLS and Heckman's model
Summary
Outline
1
Introduction
2
Truncation
3
OLS and Heckman's model
Ricardo Mora Heckman's Selection Model
Notes
Notes
pf3
pf4
pf5
pf8
pf9
pfa

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OLS and Heckman's modelTruncation Summary

Heckman's Selection Model

Econometrics II

Ricardo Mora

Department of Economics Universidad Carlos III de Madrid Máster Universitario en Desarrollo y Crecimiento Económico

Ricardo Mora Heckman's Selection Model

Introduction OLS and Heckman's modelTruncation Summary

Outline

(^1) Introduction

(^2) Truncation

3 OLS and Heckman's model

Notes

Notes

OLS and Heckman's modelTruncation Summary

Example 1

Investment in capital equipment q∗ i = xi β + εi

we observe qi =

q∗ i if q i∗ > 0 0 if q i∗ ≤ 0

rms only carry out investment decisions if their net discounted value is positive the censored dependent variable is a latent variable which is the result of our economic model this is the Tobit model

Ricardo Mora Heckman's Selection Model

Introduction OLS and Heckman's modelTruncation Summary

Example 2

wi = xi β + εi we only observe (wi , xi ) if wi ≤ W

for reasons of condentiality, the dataset does not report any information for individuals with a large wage the dependent variable is truncated to the right because of the data collection mechanism this is a truncated regression model

Notes

Notes

OLS and Heckman's modelTruncation Summary

OLS is inconsistent

dene s = 1 (β 0 + β x + ε > 0 ) note that sy = sβ 0 + β sx + sε then E [(sx) (sε)] = E [sxε] (note that s^2 = s)

OLS is inconsistent because E [sxε] 6 = 0

Ricardo Mora Heckman's Selection Model

Introduction OLS and Heckman's modelTruncation Summary

ML Estimation

The density of the sample is not a normal density because the population has been truncated We need the distribution of yi given xi AND given that yi > 0 Joint density for (yi , yi > 0 ) given xi :

σ

φ

( (^) εi σ

Pr (yi > 0 |xi ) = Φ

β xi σ

Li (β , σ ) =

( (^) σ^1 )φ

( (yi −β^ xi ) σ

)

Φ

( (^) β xi σ

)

Notes

Notes

OLS and Heckman's modelTruncation Summary

Heckman's Selection Model

we observe wi if si = 1 output equation: w = β 0 + β x + ε participation equation: s = 1 (γ′z + v ) [ u v

]

∼ N

([

]

[

σ (^) u^2 ρ ρ 1

])

we can generalize this model to include another output equation for those for whom s = 0

Ricardo Mora Heckman's Selection Model

Introduction OLS and Heckman's modelTruncation Summary

OLS is inconsistent

note that sw ∗ = sβ 0 + β sx + sε then E [sx ∗ sε |x, z ] = E [sε |x, z ] x because s^2 = s therefore, OLS will be biased if E [sε |x, z ] 6 = 0

OLS is inconsistent if ρ 6 = 0

Notes

Notes

OLS and Heckman's modelTruncation Summary

The Conditional Expectation

from the Tobit model, we know that E [w |x, z, s = 1 ] = xβ + ρλ (zγ)

where λ () is the inverse Mills ratio

λ is like a missing variable which is correlated with ε if ρ = 0, no problem with OLS

Ricardo Mora Heckman's Selection Model

Introduction OLS and Heckman's modelTruncation Summary

Two-step Sample Correction

Heckman's two-step sample selection correction First Step: Using all observations, estimate a probit model of work on z and compute the inverse of Mills ratio, ˆλi = φˆi Φ^ ˆi Second Step: using the selected sample, ols wage on x and λˆ

β^ ˆ is consistent and asymptotically normal

Notes

Notes

OLS and Heckman's modelTruncation Summary

Why Is this Method Good?

ML estimates of the participation equation are consistent ˆλ shifts the conditional expectations of those individuals more likely to work due to unobservable factors in the right direction assume that ρ > 0: a wage observation with a low index zγ (high λi ) is likely to work due to unobservable factors and also more likely to have higher wages in the sample due to unobservable factors: λi should be large a wage observation with a high index zγ (low λi ) is less likely to work due to unobservable factors and also less likely to have higher wages due to unobservable factors: λi should be small

Ricardo Mora Heckman's Selection Model

Introduction OLS and Heckman's modelTruncation Summary

Some Issues on Sample Selection

OLS (Robust) Standard Errors in second step are invalid It is possible to test for sample selection: t test on ρˆ in second step If there are endogenous controls in wage equation, we replace OLS by 2SLS in second step The method works best if x ⊂ z (i.e. some variables appear only in participation equation)

Notes

Notes

OLS and Heckman's modelTruncation Summary

Summary

there is a variety of ways to account for sample selection Stata allows for estimation of Heckman's Selection Model both two-stage and ML estimation testing and prediction is computed as usual

Ricardo Mora Heckman's Selection Model

Notes

Notes